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Rating of parties in the elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine: results of a telephone survey conducted on February 5-7, 2021
The press release was prepared by KIIS Deputy Director Anton Hrushetskyi
During February 5-7, 2021, the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) conducted its own all-Ukrainian public opinion poll "Omnibus". By the method of computer-assisted telephone interviews (CATI) based on a random sample of mobile telephone numbers 2005 respondents were interviewed living in all regions of Ukraine (except the Autonomous Republic of Crimea). The sample is representative for the adult population (18 years and older) of Ukraine. The sample does not include territories that are temporarily not controlled by the authorities of Ukraine - the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, certain districts of Donetsk and Luhansk regions.
In Luhansk and Donetsk oblasts, the survey was conducted only in the territory controlled by the Ukrainian authorities.
Statistical sampling error (with a probability of 0.95 and taking into account the design effect of 1.1) does not exceed: 2.4% for indicators close to 50%, 2.1% for indicators close to 25%, 1.5% - for indicators close to 10%, 1.1% - for indicators close to 5%.
As of February 5-7, three parties have support at once, which differs within the statistical error, in fact, these three parties "share" the first - third places. In addition, the fourth party lags minimally behind the formal leaders (and its support is lower in terms of error compared to the party that formally ranks third in the ranking). Thus, the "YeS" party would get relatively the most votes, for which 12.2% of all respondents and 18.1% of those who decided on the choice would vote; "OPZZh" party - 11.4% and 16.8%, respectively; the "Sluha Narodu" party - 10.5% and 15.5%; "Batkivshchyna" party - 8.9% and 13.2%. Next are "Syla i Chest" (respectively 4.3% and 6.3%) and the Radical Party (3.5% and 5.2%). "Sharii’s Party" (2.6% and 3.9%), "Holos" (2.5% and 3.7%) and "Hroisman's Ukrainian Strategy" are slightly below the barrier to entry. (2.1% and 3.2%).