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Socio-political situation in Ukraine: February March, 2016


Major results:

  • All-Ukrainian union “Batkivshchyna” is a leader of party ranking in the elections to Verkhovna Rada. It is followed by the parties “Opozytsiinyi block”, “Block Petra Poroshenka”, “Samopomich”, and Radical party.

  • Y.Tymoshenko and P. Poroshenko are the leaders in the Presidential rating. In case of the second round Y.Tymoshenko would receive more votes than P.Poroshenko.

  • Majority of the population think the government leads Ukraine in wrong direction. Also the majority of the population think that socio-economical situation in Ukraine has become worse over the last two years. People blame it mostly on the Prime Minister and the President.

  • Majority of the population think that parliament was wrong when decided not to dismiss the government on February 16. Most of the Ukrainians believe that forming new government with a new Prime Minister is a way out of political crisis.

  • Most residents of Ukraine think that conflict on the East of Ukraine should be solved through peaceful international negotiations.

 

In a period of February 23 – March 8, 2016 Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) has conducted all-Ukrainian public opinion poll on the client`s request. Data were collected from 2039 respondents living in 110 settlements in all regions of Ukraine (except the AR of Crimea) through personal interviews. Sample is stochastic, four-staged with quota selection on the last stage, and representative for the population of Ukraine aged 18 and above.

In Luhansk and Donetsk regions survey was conducted only on the territories controlled by Ukraine.

The statistical sample error (with probability of 0.95 and design–effect of 1.5) does not exceed: 3.3% for indicators close to 50%, 2.8% – for indicators close to 25%, 2.0% – for indicators close to 10%, 1.4% – for indicators close to 5%.

Estimation of the direction in which government leads Ukraine. Perception of the changes in socio-economic sphere over the past two years

  • To the question “In your opinion, does Ukrainian government lead the country in the right or in the wrong direction?” 78.3% of the respondents answer “in the wrong direction”, 12% - choose “in the right direction”, 9.6% - did not answer the question.

  • 87.2% of adult population of Ukraine think that socio-economic situation became slightly or significantly worse over the past two years, 2.8% - think it became better, 8% - think that, in general, situation did not change.

  • Amongst those who admitted the deterioration of socio-economic situation, 33.2% blame it mostly on the Prime Minister A.Yatseniuk, 24.2% blame it mostly on P.Poroshenko, also 11.1% think that Cabinet of Ministers is responsible for the deterioration. Other variants from the list were chosen less often.

Voting for the dismissal of the government on February 16, and the coalition collapse

  • To the question “As you, probably, know, on February 16 the Verkhovna Rada listened to the report of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine and recognized the work of the Government as unsatisfactory. At the same time, the Verkhovna Rada did NOT support the dismissal of the Government. In your opinion, was the decision of the parliament not to dismiss the Government right or wrong?” 54.6% of the respondents answered “the decision of the parliament not to dismiss the government was wrong”. Option “the decision of the parliament not to dismiss the government was right” was supported by 19.2% of the respondents, 26.3% of the respondents did not answer the question.

  • 27.6% of adult population of Ukraine impose the main responsibility for coalition collapse on the Prime Minister A.Yatseniuk, 21.5% - on the President Petro Poroshenko. Also 7.1% of the respondents impose the main responsibility on all-Ukrainian union “Batkivshchyna”/ Y.Tymoshenko. Other variants were chosen less often.

  • To the question “In your opinion, which of these steps listed on the card would help to get out of political crisis in Ukraine?” 49.6% answer “Dismissal of the current government and creation of the new government with a new Prime Minister”. Also, 17.4% of the respondents chose “Continuation of the reforms by the current Government of Ukraine”, 14.6% - “Creation of the new coalition in the current government”, 13.8% - “Early elections of the President of Ukraine”, 13.4% - “Early elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine”. Other variants were chosen less often.

  • To the question “Do you personally support or not support the idea of conduction of early parliamentary elections in the near future in order to peacefully restart the government in Ukraine?” 43.4% of the citizens aged 18 and above answered that they supported this idea, 34.1% - that they did not.

  • To the question “Do you personally support or not support the idea of conduction of early Presidential elections in the near future in order to peacefully restart the government in Ukraine?” 40.9% of the citizens aged 18 and above answered that they supported this idea, 37.5% - that they did not.

 

Thoughts of the population of Ukraine about who would handle the duties of the Prime Minister better

Answers to the question “Whom out of the politicians mentioned in the card would you like to see as a Prime Minister of Ukraine?” were distributed as follows:

  • Yulia Tymoshenko – 12.9%,

  • Mikheil Saakashvili – 9.9%,

  • Oleh Liashko – 6.5%,

  • Andrii Sadovyi – 5.9%,

  • Arseniy Yatseniuk – 5.6%,

  • Yurii Boiko – 4.7%,

  • Anatolii Hrytsenko – 3.7%,

  • Natalia Yaresko – 3.2%,

  • Named other politicians – 1.6%,

  • Do not want any of these politicians to become a Prime Minister – 27.2%,

  • Have not decided yet – 15.8%.

 

Attitude toward the appointment of foreigners to important governmental positions

  • Among the adult population of Ukraine, 56.5% do not support “appointment of foreigners to important governmental positions”,32.9% do support, 10.5% have not decided yet.

 

Thoughts of the population of Ukraine about the ways of solving the conflict on the East of Ukraine, and about Minsk agreement

  • To the question “Which of the ways out of the current military conflict in Donbas do you consider to be the most appropriate?” 66.6% of the respondents answered “Continuation of international negotiations until complete resolution”, 20.4% of the respondents chose “Activation of military actions, offensive until full liberation of Donbas”, 13% of the respondents did not answer.

Electoral moods of the population in the elections to the Verkhovna Rada

If elections to the Verkhovna Rada had been held in the middle of March, out of all citizens of Ukraine aged 18 and above:

  • 9.5%  would have voted for the party all-Ukrainian union “Batkivshchyna”,

  • 6.7% – for the party “Opozytsiinyi block”

  •  5.8% – for the party “Block Petra Poroshenko”,

  •  5.5% – for the party “Samopomich”,

  •  5.5% – for the Radical party of Oleh Liashko,

  •  3.2% – for the party all-Ukrainian union “Svoboda”,

  •  2.6% – for the party “Hromadianska pozytsiia”,

  •  2.1% – for the party “Rukh za ochyshenia”,

  •  1.3% – for the party “UKROP”,

  •  1.3% – for the party “Natsionalnyi rukh Dmytra Yarosha”,

  •  1.1% – for the party “Vidrodzhenia”,

  •  1.0% – for the party “Narodnyi front”,

  •  1.0% – for the party “Nova derzhava”,

  •  For other parties in total – 4.3%,

  •  6.5% would have crossed out all the parties, would have spoilt the ballot,

  • 21.0% would have not participated,

  • 21.5% have not decided yet.

 

That is, if all those who have not decided how to vote yet, had not, as usual, come to the elections, about 51% of all voters would have participated, and their votes would have been distributed as follows (actually, these indexes are the closest to the possible elections which could have been held in mid-March):

  • 18,6%  would have voted for for the party all-Ukrainian union “Batkivshchyna”,

  • 13.2% – for the party “Opozytsiinyi block”

  • 11.4% – for the party “Block Petra Poroshenko”,

  •  10.9% – for the party “Samopomich”,

  •  10.9% – for the Radical party of Oleh Liashko,

  •  6,2% – for the party all-Ukrainian union “Svoboda”,

  • 5.1% – for the party “Hromadianska pozytsiia”,

  •  4.1% – for the party “Rukh za ochyshenia”,

  •  2.6% – for the party “UKROP”,

  •  2.5% – for the party “Natsionalnyi rukh Dmytra Yarosha”,

  •  2.2% – for the party “Vidrodzhenia”,

  •  1.9% – for the party “Narodnyi front”,

  •  1.9% – for the party “Nova derzhava”,

  •  For other parties in total - 8,3%.

 

Considering the sensitivity of the issue of electoral choice, respondents once again were asked the question about which party they would vote for, but using the technique of "secret box". The technique provided that the respondent received a short questionnaire with the question about voting in elections to the Verkhovna Rada (it looked like a ballot). Respondent filled questionnaire him-/her-self and put it than in a special box. Thus, the interviewer did not know the answer of respondent, and it was hoped to raise the sincerity of responses. The following table presents the distribution of answers to this question.

  % of all respondents % of those, who want to participate and decided
Party "All-Ukrainian union “Batkivshchyna " (Y.Tymoshenko) 11,5 20,5
Party "Opozytsiinyi block " (S. Lyovochkin, V. Rabinovych, Y.Boiko, B. Kolesnikov) 6,8 12,1
Radical party of Oleh Liashko 6,5 11,6
Party "Obiyednanya “Samopomich" (A.Sadovyi) 6,4 11,4
Party “Block Petra Poroshenka “Solidarnist`” (Y. Lutsenko) 6,1 10,9
Party "All-Ukrainian union "Svoboda" (O.Tiahnybok) 3,2 5,8
Party "Hromadyanska pozytsia" (A.Hrytsenko) 3,1 5,6
Party "Rukh za ochyshchenya Ukrainy" (M.Saakashvili) 2,5 4,5
Party "Narodnyi front" (A.Yatseniuk) 1,4 2,5
Party "Natsionalnyi rukh Dmytra Yarosha" 1,4 2,5
Party “Ukrainian union of patriots “UKROP” (D.Borysenko, B.Filatov) 1,2 2,2
Party “UDAR” (V.Klichko) 0,9 1,6
Party “Vidrodzhenia” (V.Bondar) 0,8 1,4
Party “Nova derzhava” (P.Symonenko) 0,6 1,1
Party of Serhii Tihipko “Sylna Ukraina” 0,6 1,1
Agrarna partiya Ukrainy  (V.Skotsyk) 0,5 0,9
Party "Nash krai" (co-chairs: O. Mazurchak, O.Feldman, A.Kisse, S.Kaltsev, Y. Hranaturov) 0,5 0,9
Party "Narodnyi control`" (D.Dobrodomov) 0,4 0,7
Party "Pravyi sektor" (A.Tarasenko) 0,4 0,7
Party “Partiya prostykh liudei Serhiya Kaplina” 0,3 0,5
Party "Demokratychnyi alians" (V.Gatsko) 0,2 0,4
Party "Syla liudei" (O.Solontai) 0,0 0,0
For another party 0,5 0,9
WOULD CROSS OUT ALL PARTIES FROM THE BALLOT / WOULD SPOIL THE BALLOT 6,1 ---
WOULD NOT PARTICIPATE 17,2 ---
DIFFICULT TO SAY 20,7 ---

 

Electoral moods of the population in the elections of the President of Ukraine

If elections of the President of Ukraine had been held in the middle of March, out of all citizens of Ukraine aged 18 and above:

  • 10.9% would have voted for Yulia Tymoshenko,

  • 9.3% - for Petro Poroshenko,

  • 6.3% - for Oleh Liashko,

  • 5.4% - for Andrii Sadovyi,

  • 5.0% - for Anatolii Hrytsenko,

  • 4.9% - for Yurii Boiko,

  • 2.1% - for Oleh Tiahnybok,

  • 2.0% - for Dmytro Yarosh,

  • 1.8% - for Serhii Tihipko,

  • 1.0% - for Petro Symonenko,

  • 0.7% - for Henadii Korban,

  • 0.6% - for Valentyn Nalyvaichenko,

  • for other candidates in total – 2.1%,

  • 6.2% would have crossed out all parties from the ballot, would have spoilt the ballot,

  • 18.8% would have not participated,

  • 23.0% have not decided whom to vote for yet.         

      That is, if all those who have not decided how to vote yet, had not, as usual, come to the elections, about 53% of all voters would have participated, and their votes would have been distributed as follows (actually, these indexes are the closest to the possible elections which could have been held in mid-March):

  • 20.9% would have voted for Yulia Tymoshenko,

  • 17.9% - for Petro Poroshenko,

  • 12.0% - for Oleh Liashko,

  • 10.3% - for Andrii Sadovyi,

  • 9.6% - for Anatolii Hrytsenko,

  • 9.5% - for Yurii Boiko,

  • 4.1% - for Oleh Tiahnybok,

  • 3.9% - for Dmytro Yarosh,

  • 3.4% - for Serhii Tihipko,

  • 2.0% - for Petro Symonenko,

  • 1.3% - for Henadii Korban,

  • 1.2% - for Valentyn Nalyvaichenko,

  • for other candidates in total – 4.0%,

 

Note that the difference between the ratings of Tymoshenko and of Poroshenko is insignificant.

As in the case of parliamentary elections, question about the Presidential elections was asked once again with the method of “secret box”. The following table presents the distribution of answers to this question.

 

  % of all respondents % of those, who want to participate and decided
Yulia Tymoshenko 12,4 22,6
Petro Poroshenko 8,8 16,2
Oleh Liashko 6,2 11,2
Andrii Sadovyi 5,7 10,4
Yurii Boiko 4,9 8,8
Anatolii Hrytsenko 4,6 8,4
Serhii Tihipko 2,1 4
Dmytro Yarosh 2,2 4
Oleh Tiahnybok 1,9 3,6
Petro Symonenko 1,2 2,2
Henadii Korban 0,9 1,7
Valentyn Nalyvaichenko 0,8 1,6
Other 2,9 5,3
WOULD CROSS OUT ALL PARTIES FROM THE BALLOT / WOULD SPOIL THE BALLOT 5,5 ---
WOULD NOT PARTICIPATE 16,5 ---
DIFFICULT TO SAY 23,3 ---

Also respondents were asked “If Petro Poroshenko and Yulia Tymoshenko participated in the second round of the Presidential elections, whom would you vote for?”. Answers were distributed as follows:

  • 16.4% would vote for Petro Poroshenko,
  • 25.2% - for Yulia Tymoshenko,
  • 41.3% would not participate in voting,
  • 17.1% have not decided yet.

Addition

 

Distributions of answers to the questions from the questionnaire

In your opinion, does Ukrainian government lead the country in the right or in the wrong direction?

100% in the column Ukraine in general West Center South East Donbas
Definitely, in the right direction 2,1 2,2 2,4 3,3 1,2 0,7
Rather in the right direction 9,9 10,2 11,9 9,5 9,3 0,7
Rather in the wrong direction 31,3 36,7 29,0 40,3 21,8 34,6
Definitely, in the wrong direction 47,0 40,6 44,2 40,7 60,0 59,6
DIFFICULT TO SAY 9,6 10,4 12,4 6,2 7,8 4,4
 

In your opinion, how generally did the socio-economic situation change in Ukraine over the past two years?

100% in the column Ukraine in general West Center South East Donbas
Became significantly better 0,7 0,5 0,7 0,0 1,7 0,0
Became slightly better 2,1 2,5 2,7 0,8 1,2 1,5
Did not change in general 8,0 10,1 11,2 5,8 1,7 6,0
Became slightly worse 18,6 25,5 19,8 14,9 8,9 20,3
Became significantly worse 68,5 58,5 63,9 77,3 84,3 72,1
DIFFICULT TO SAY 2,0 2,9 1,7 1,2 2,2 0,0
 

 

In your opinion, who does have the main responsibility for the deterioration of the socio-economic situation in Ukraine over the past two years? Name, please, only one variant.

 (% of those who think socio-economic situation became slightly or significantly worse)

100% in the column Ukraine in general West Center South East Donbas
Petro Poroshenko, the President of Ukraine 24,2 23,3 23,2 23,8 23,3 36,9
Arsenii Yatseniuk, the Prime Minister of Ukraine 33,2 25,7 34,6 43,5 37,2 23,0
The Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine in general 11,1 10,5 10,5 12,6 12,0 9,9
The Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine 8,7 13,5 6,5 6,3 10,1 0,8
Victor Yanukovych, the former President of Ukraine 4,5 6,7 6,5 1,8 1,3 1,6
War 6,8 11,2 6,0 3,1 3,2 11,5
Countries of Western Europe 0,7 0,0 0,2 3,1 0,5 1,6
The USA 0,9 0,0 1,0 1,8 1,1 1,6
Other 4,2 4,3 4,3 1,3 5,1 6,6
DIFFICULT TO SAY 5,6 4,7 7,0 2,7 6,1 6,6

As you, probably, know, on February 16 the Verkhovna Rada listened to the report of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine and recognized the work of the Government as unsatisfactory. At the same time, the Verkhovna Rada did NOT support the dismissal of the Government. In your opinion, was the decision of the parliament not to dismiss the Government right or wrong?

100% in the column Ukraine in general West Center South East Donbas
I am sure it was right decision of the parliament 7,5 5,9 10,6 8,6 4,2 5,4
I think it was rather right decision of the parliament 11,7 14,6 11,6 14,0 8,3 4,6
I think it was rather wrong decision of the parliament 26,1 29,2 21,3 27,6 26,7 32,6
I am sure it was wrong decision of the parliament 28,5 24,6 30,8 35,4 22,8 37,2
DIFFICULT TO SAY 26,3 25,7 25,7 14,4 38,0 20,1
nbsp;

In your opinion, who does have the main responsibility for the collapse of the coalition that was formed in December 2014? Name, please, only ONE variant.

100% in the column Ukraine in general West Center South East Donbas
Petro Poroshenko, the President of Ukraine 21,5 20,2 18,7 24,5 24,8 26,7
Arsenii Yatseniuk, the Prime Minister of Ukraine 27,6 31,1 18,1 38,2 34,4 23,7
Party “Block Petra Poroshenka” 3,4 3,3 3,3 5,3 2,8 3,0
Party “Narodnyi front” 1,8 1,4 0,9 6,3 1,7 0,0
Party “All-Ukrainian union “Batkivshchyna”/ Y.Tymoshenko 7,1 7,9 11,2 2,1 1,0 10,0
Party “Samopomich”/ A.Sadovyi 0,5 0,4 0,7 0,8 0,0 1,6
Radical party/ O. Liashko 0,6 0,5 1,0 0,8 0,0 0,0
Western countries 0,9 0,4 1,0 1,6 0,7 1,6
Russian Federation 1,9 2,1 2,4 0,4 2,0 0,0
Other 1,9 1,9 1,7 1,2 2,5 0,7
DIFFICULT TO SAY 32,9 30,7 40,8 18,7 30,1 32,8

 

In your opinion, which of these steps listed in the card would help to get out of political crisis in Ukraine?

100% in the column Ukraine in general West Center South East Donbas
Continuation of the reforms by the current Government of Ukraine 17,4 20,7 22,2 20,6 6,8 4,5
Change of individual ministers in the Government, without changing the Prime Minister. 9,2 10,8 10,9 11,1 4,3 5,2
Dismissal of the current Government and creation of the new Government with a new Prime Minister 49,6 47,5 41,1 45,3 66,6 60,1
Creation of the new coalition in the current Government 14,6 14,8 14,3 21,4 8,8 19,5
Early elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine 13,4 8,6 11,4 21,4 14,8 24,0
Early elections of the President of Ukraine 13,8 8,4 5,8 16,9 30,7 21,1
New revolution 3,9 6,1 4,1 2,5 1,7 2,2
Other 2,5 2,3 1,7 6,6 1,5 2,2
DIFFICULT TO SAY 17,7 13,9 23,6 11,9 15,1 20,3


Whom out of the politicians mentioned in the card would you like to see as a Prime Minister of Ukraine?

100% in the column Ukraine in general West Center South East Donbas
Yurii Boiko 4,7 1,1 2,7 4,9 10,5 12,1
Anatolii Hrytsenko 3,7 4,5 5,0 1,6 2,7 0,7
Oleh Liashko 6,5 6,6 6,5 3,7 9,5 1,5
Nikheil Saakashvili 9,9 15,1 7,4 11,2 8,3 3,8
Andrii Sadovyi 5,9 10,9 4,6 5,8 3,0 2,2
Yulia Tymoshenko 12,9 16,2 12,2 9,9 11,8 12,1
Serhii Tihipko 2,8 0,9 2,1 4,5 5,7 2,2
Natalia Yaresko 3,2 6,1 2,0 3,7 2,0 0,7
Arsenii Yatseniuk 5,6 8,4 7,6 5,3 0,5 0,0
Other 1,6 1,6 1,0 4,1 1,2 1,5
DO NOT WANT ANY OF THEM TO BECOME A PRIME MINISTER 27,2 17,8 29,8 27,3 28,7 47,3
DIFFICULT TO SAY 15,8 10,7 19,1 17,8 16,0 15,7

 

What is your attitude toward the appointment of foreigners to important governmental positions in Ukraine?

100% in the column Ukraine in general West Center South East Donbas
Fully support 8,2 9,9 8,3 9,5 6,9 2,9
Rather support 24,7 34,7 20,1 18,9 25,6 15,5
Rather do not support 26,6 29,8 27,2 25,5 20,6 30,3
Fully not support 29,9 17,3 30,7 34,2 39,2 41,5
DIFFICULT TO SAY 10,5 8,3 13,7 11,9 7,7 9,7

 

Which of the ways out of the current military conflict in Donbas do you consider to be the most appropriate?

100% in the column Ukraine in general West Center South East Donbas
Continuation of international negotiations until complete resolution 66,5 62,4 56,6 72,7 79,5 86,0
Activation of military actions, offensive until full liberation of Donbas 20,5 23,8 28,4 19,9 6,9 5,9
DIFFICULT TO SAY 13,0 13,7 15,0 7,4 13,6 8,1

 

Do you personally support or not support the idea of conduction of early Presidential elections in near future in order to peacefully restart the government in Ukraine?

100% in the column Ukraine in general West Center South East Donbas
Fully support 24,3 13,6 18,9 28,6 48,2 16,9
Rather support 16,5 19,9 17,2 11,6 13,1 19,1
Rather do not support 19,2 29,0 16,9 21,2 9,8 14,7
Fully not support 18,3 21,7 19,6 20,4 8,3 22,8
DIFFICULT TO SAY 21,7 15,8 27,3 18,2 20,6 26,5

Do you personally support or not support the idea of conduction of early parliamentary elections in near future in order to peacefully restart the government in Ukraine?

100% in the column Ukraine in general West Center South East Donbas
Fully support 25,7 14,6 21,2 32,4 48,1 15,5
Rather support 17,7 21,6 17,9 12,9 13,4 21,5
Rather do not support 17,3 27,3 13,7 17,4 10,3 15,5
Fully not support 16,9 20,0 17,8 17,8 8,5 21,5
DIFFICULT TO SAY 22,5 16,4 29,3 19,5 19,7 25,9


If elections to the Verkovna Rada of Ukraine were held on the coming Sunday, would you participate? What would be your choice then if the following parties participated in elections?

DIRECT QUESTION

100% in the column Ukraine in general West Center South East Donbas
Agrarna partiya Ukrainy  (V.Skotsyk) 0,5 0,5 0,0 1,7 0,5 0,7
Party “Block Petra Poroshenka “Solidarnist`” (Y. Lutsenko) 5,8 6,0 7,8 5,0 3,5 2,9
Party "Vidrodzhenia" (V.Bondar) 1,1 0,7 0,0 0,4 4,5 0,0
Party "All-Ukrainian union “Batkivshchyna " (Y.Tymoshenko) 9,5 12,7 8,0 10,7 8,5 5,1
Party "All-Ukrainian union "Svoboda" (O.Tiahnybok) 3,2 7,1 3,0 0,4 0,7 0,0
Party "Hromadyanska pozytsia" (A.Hrytsenko) 2,6 4,2 2,9 1,2 1,7 0,0
Party "Demokratychnyi alians" (V.Gatsko) 0,0 0,0 0,1 0,0 0,0 0,0
Party "Narodnyi control`" (D.Dobrodomov) 0,2 0,0 0,1 0,8 0,2 0,0
Party "Narodnyi front" (A.Yatseniuk) 1,0 2,4 0,1 2,1 0,2 0,0
Party "Nash krai" (co-chairs: O. Mazurchak, O.Feldman, A.Kisse, S.Kaltsev, Y. Hranaturov) 0,5 0,0 0,4 1,2 1,0 0,0
Party "Natsionalnyi rukh Dmytra Yarosha" 1,3 2,2 1,2 0,8 0,7 0,7
Party "Nova derzhava" (P.Symonenko) 1,0 0,0 0,3 2,1 2,2 2,9
Party "Obiyednannya “Samopomich" (A.Sadovyi) 5,5 9,8 4,8 2,1 3,5 4,4
Party "Opozytsiinyi block " (S. Lyovochkin, V. Rabinovych, Y.Boiko, B. Kolesnikov) 6,7 1,1 2,8 11,2 14,0 20,6
Party “Partiya prostykh liudei Serhiya Kaplina” 0,3 0,2 0,6 0,8 0,0 0,0
Party "Pravyi sektor" (A.Tarasenko) 0,5 0,5 0,6 0,4 0,5 0,0
Party "Rukh za ochyshchenya Ukrainy" (M.Saakashvili) 2,1 2,9 2,0 3,3 0,5 1,5
Party "Syla liudei" (O.Solontai) 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,4 0,0 0,0
Party "Sylna Ukraina" (S.Tihipko) 0,5 0,7 0,3 1,7 0,2 0,0
Party “UDAR” (V.Klichko) 0,9 1,4 0,7 1,2 0,2 0,7
Party “Ukrainian union of patriots “UKROP” (D.Borysenko, B.Filatov) 1,3 1,6 0,6 0,0 3,2 0,7
Radical party of Oleh Liashko 5,5 6,0 6,1 5,8 5,0 2,2
For another party 0,7 0,9 0,4 0,8 0,7 0,7
WOULD CROSS OUT ALL PARTIES FROM THE BALLOT / WOULD SPOIL THE BALLOT 6,5 4,0 6,7 8,3 8,5 7,4
WOULD NOT PARTICIPATE 21,0 15,7 24,1 21,1 17,7 36,8
DIFFICULT TO SAY 21,5 19,5 26,3 16,5 21,9 12,5


If elections to the Verkovna Rada of Ukraine were held on the coming Sunday, would you participate? What would be your choice then if the following parties participated in elections?

“SECRET BOX”

100% in the column Ukraine in general West Center South East Donbas
Agrarna partiya Ukrainy  (V.Skotsyk) 0,5 0,5 0,0 2,1 0,5 0,0
Party “Block Petra Poroshenka “Solidarnist`” (Y. Lutsenko) 6,1 6,8 6,8 6,0 4,5 3,9
Party "Vidrodzhenia" (V.Bondar) 0,8 0,5 0,0 0,9 3,0 0,0
Party "All-Ukrainian union “Batkivshchyna " (Y.Tymoshenko) 11,5 15,4 10,5 12,9 8,2 4,9
Party "All-Ukrainian union "Svoboda" (O.Tiahnybok) 3,2 7,3 2,5 0,4 1,5 0,0
Party "Hromadyanska pozytsia" (A.Hrytsenko) 3,1 3,9 3,3 2,1 2,5 1,9
Party "Demokratychnyi alians" (V.Gatsko) 0,2 0,4 0,0 0,0 0,5 0,0
Party "Narodnyi control`" (D.Dobrodomov) 0,4 0,4 0,4 0,9 0,2 0,0
Party "Narodnyi front" (A.Yatseniuk) 1,4 2,5 1,0 2,6 0,2 0,0
Party "Nash krai" (co-chairs: O. Mazurchak, O.Feldman, A.Kisse, S.Kaltsev, Y. Hranaturov) 0,5 0,0 0,6 0,9 1,0 1,0
Party "Natsionalnyi rukh Dmytra Yarosha" 1,4 2,2 1,7 0,4 1,0 0,0
Party "Nova derzhava" (P.Symonenko) 0,6 0,0 0,3 0,9 2,0 1,0
Party "Obiyednannya “Samopomich" (A.Sadovyi) 6,4 11,0 6,4 2,6 3,0 3,9
Party "Opozytsiinyi block " (S. Lyovochkin, V. Rabinovych, Y.Boiko, B. Kolesnikov) 6,8 1,6 2,2 13,3 14,1 21,6
Party “Partiya prostykh liudei Serhiya Kaplina” 0,3 0,2 0,4 1,3 0,0 0,0
Party "Pravyi sektor" (A.Tarasenko) 0,4 0,5 0,4 0,4 0,2 1,0
Party "Rukh za ochyshchenya Ukrainy" (M.Saakashvili) 2,5 3,9 2,5 2,6 1,0 1,9
Party "Syla liudei" (O.Solontai) 0,0 0,2 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0
Party "Sylna Ukraina" (S.Tihipko) 0,6 0,7 0,3 1,7 0,5 0,0
Party “UDAR” (V.Klichko) 0,9 1,8 0,7 0,9 0,2 0,0
Party “Ukrainian union of patriots “UKROP” (D.Borysenko, B.Filatov) 1,2 1,3 0,6 0,0 3,5 0,0
Radical party of Oleh Liashko 6,5 6,8 6,9 6,8 6,2 1,9
For another party 0,5 0,7 0,3 0,4 0,7 0,0
WOULD CROSS OUT ALL PARTIES FROM THE BALLOT / WOULD SPOIL THE BALLOT 6,1 4,1 5,5 8,1 8,9 4,9
WOULD NOT PARTICIPATE 17,2 11,8 19,1 17,1 16,6 34,3
DIFFICULT TO SAY 20,7 15,4 27,4 14,6 19,8 17,6


If elections of the President of Ukraine were held on the coming Sunday, would you participate? What would be your choice then if the following candidates participated in elections?

DIRECT QUESTION

100% in the column Ukraine in general West Center South East Donbas
Yurii Boiko 4,9 0,9 2,3 8,6 9,5 14,7
Anatolii Hrytsenko 5,0 7,8 5,4 2,1 3,5 0,7
Henadii Korban 0,7 0,2 0,4 0,0 2,5 0,0
Oleh Liashko 6,3 8,0 6,0 4,1 7,5 0,7
Valentyn Nalyvaichenko 0,6 0,9 0,3 1,6 0,5 0,0
Petro Poroshenko 9,3 9,6 11,4 10,3 6,7 2,9
Andrii Sadovyi 5,4 10,3 3,9 5,3 2,2 2,2
Petro Symonenko 1,0 0,0 0,4 2,1 2,7 1,5
Yulia Tymoshenko 10,9 15,0 9,0 11,1 10,0 5,9
Serhii Tihipko 1,8 1,1 0,6 2,1 4,7 1,5
Oleh Tiahnybok 2,1 4,3 2,0 0,0 1,0 0,7
Dmytro Yarosh 2,0 3,1 2,1 0,8 1,2 1,5
Other 2,1 2,0 0,6 2,9 4,7 0,7
WOULD CROSS OUT ALL THE CANDIDATES/ WOULD SPOIL THE BALLOT 6,2 4,0 6,4 7,0 7,0 10,3
WOULD NOT PARTICIPATE 18,8 14,6 21,2 20,2 13,5 36,8
DIFFICULT TO SAY 23,0 18,3 27,9 21,8 22,7 19,9


If elections of the President of Ukraine were held on the coming Sunday, would you participate? What would be your choice then if the following candidates participated in elections?

“SECRET BOX”

100% in the column Ukraine in general West Center South East Donbas
Yurii Boiko 4,9 1,8 2,4 7,7 9,4 12,6
Anatolii Hrytsenko 4,6 7,0 4,7 2,6 3,2 1,0
Henadii Korban 0,9 0,4 0,7 0,9 2,2 0,0
Oleh Liashko 6,2 7,6 5,9 5,1 6,2 1,9
Valentyn Nalyvaichenko 0,8 1,1 0,6 1,3 1,0 0,0
Petro Poroshenko 8,8 8,9 10,7 9,0 6,7 3,9
Andrii Sadovyi 5,7 10,3 5,4 3,0 2,7 1,0
Petro Symonenko 1,2 0,4 0,4 3,0 2,5 1,9
Yulia Tymoshenko 12,4 16,4 11,4 14,6 8,4 7,8
Serhii Tihipko 2,1 1,1 0,8 3,0 5,7 1,0
Oleh Tiahnybok 1,9 4,6 1,7 0,0 0,5 0,0
Dmytro Yarosh 2,2 2,8 2,9 0,9 1,2 1,0
Other 2,9 2,4 1,0 6,0 5,0 3,9
WOULD CROSS OUT ALL THE CANDIDATES/ WOULD SPOIL THE BALLOT 5,5 4,8 5,1 6,4 6,4 5,8
WOULD NOT PARTICIPATE 16,5 10,7 18,6 17,5 15,2 35,0
DIFFICULT TO SAY 23,3 19,6 27,6 18,8 23,4 23,3

16.3.2016
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