KYIV
INTERNATIONAL
INSTITUTE of
SOCIOLOGY
sociological and
marketing
research
tel. 537-3376
office@kiis.com.ua

ESC or click to close

Rating of support for parties and political leaders: December 2017

On December 2-14, 2017, Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) conducted the all-Ukrainian public opinion poll by the client`s request. Data were collected from 2039 respondents living in all oblasts of Ukraine (except for the AR of Crimea) with the method of personal interviewing. The sample was stochastic, 4-staged, and is representative of the population of Ukraine aged 18 and above. In Luhansk and Donetsk oblasts survey was conducted only in the territories that are controlled by the Ukrainian government.

The statistical sampling error (with a probability of 0.95 and for a design effect of 1.5) does not exceed: 3.3% — for indexes close to 50%, 2.8% — for indexes close to 25%, 2.0% — for indexes close to 10%, 1.4% — for indexes close to 5%.

           

Electoral intentions of the population about the elections to the Verkhovna Rada

If the elections to the Verkhovna Rada had been held in the middle of December, then out of all citizens of Ukraine aged 18 and above:

  •  6.5%  would have voted for the party “All-Ukrainian union Batkivshchyna”,
  •  5% – for the party “Block of Petro Poroshenko”,
  •  4.1% – for the party “Opozytsiynyi block”,
  •  3.9% – for the party “Za zhyttia”,
  •  3.8% – for the Radical party of Oleh Liashko,
  •  3.3% – for the party “Hromadianska pozytsia”,
  •  2.8% – for the party “Obiednannia Samopomich”,
  •  2% – for the party “All-Ukrainian union Svoboda”,
  •  1.4% – for the party “UKROP”,
  •  1.2% – for the Agrarian party,
  •  1.2% – for the party “Rukh novykh syl”,
  •  0.7% – for the party “Narodnyi front”,
  •  0.5% – for the party “Vidrodzhenia”,
  •  0.5% – for the Socialist party,
  •  0.8% - for other parties in total,
  •  3.6% – would have crossed out all the parties, spoilt the ballot,
  • 17.1% – had decided not to vote,
  • 38.7% – had not decided whom to vote for,
  • 2.8% – refused to answer the question.

Thus, if those who had not decided whom to vote for yet had not, as usual, come to the elections, about 38% of all voters would have participated, and their votes would have been distributed as follows (actually these are the closest indexes to the possible outcomes of the elections if it had been held in mid-December):

  • 17.2% would have voted for the party “All-Ukrainian union Batkivshchyna”,
  • 13.4% – for the party “Block of Petro Poroshenko”,
  • 10.7% – for the party “Opozytsiynyi block”,
  • 10.2% – for the party “Za zhyttia”,
  • 10.2% – for the Radical party of Oleh Liashko,
  •  8.8% – for the party “Hromadianska pozytsia”,
  •  7.4% – for the party “Obiednannia Samopomich”,
  •  5.4% – for the party “All-Ukrainian union Svoboda”,
  •  3.7% – for the party “UKROP”,
  •  3.2% – for the Agrarian party,
  •  3.1% – for the party “Rukh novykh syl”,
  •  1.8% – for the party “Narodnyi front”,
  •  1.4% – for the party “Vidrodzhenia”,
  •  1.4% – for the Socialist party,
  •  2.2% - for other parties in total.

Electoral intentions of the population about the elections of the President of Ukraine

If the elections of the President of Ukraine had been held in the middle of December, then out of all citizens of Ukraine aged 18 and above

  •  7.9% would have voted for Yulia Tymoshenko,
  •  6.5% – for Petro Poroshenko,
  •  4.9% – for Anatolii Hrytsenko,
  •  3,6% – for Yurii Boiko,
  •  3.5% – for Oleh Liashko,
  •  3.2% – for Andrii Sadovyi,
  •  3% – for Vadym Rabinovych,
  •  1.4% – for Volodymyr Hroisman,
  •  1.2% – for Oleh Tiahnybok,
  •  0.4% – for Arsenii Yatseniuk,
  •  2.7% for other candidates in total,
  •  4.5% – would have crossed out all the candidates, spoilt the ballot,
  • 15.3% – had decided not to vote,
  • 39.1% – had not decided whom to vote for,
  • 2.7% – refused to answer the question.

 

Thus, if those who had not decided whom to vote for yet had not, as usual, come to the elections, about 38% of all voters would have participated, and their votes would have been distributed as follows:

  •  20.5% would have voted for Yulia Tymoshenko,
  •  16.9% – for Petro Poroshenko,
  •  12.8% – for Anatolii Hrytsenko,
  •  9.5% – for Yurii Boiko,
  •  9.2% – for Oleh Liashko,
  •  8.5% – for Andrii Sadovyi,
  •  7.8% – for Vadym Rabinovych,
  •  3.6% – for Volodymyr Hroisman,
  •  3.2% – for Oleh Tiahnybok,
  •  1% – for Arsenii Yatseniuk,
  • 7.1% for other candidates in total.


Addition

 

 

Hereby there are the fragments of the questionnaire with the distribution of answers for the questions that were discussed in the press release.

The questions from the questionnaire are given in the order in which they were addressed to the respondents.

Imagine, please, that the parliamentary elections are being held now, and the representatives of the elections commission just came to you with a ballot for voting. Will you vote?

IF “YES”, PASS THE CARD AND ASK: Whom would you vote for if the following parties participated? 

 

100% in a column Ukraine in general West Center South East Donbas
Agrarian party of Ukraine (V.Skotsyk) 1.2 0.7 1.0 2.3 1.1 2.9
“Block of Petro Poroshenko “Solidarnist” 5.0 4.9 5.6 4.4 4.6 5.3
“Vidrodzhennia” (V.Bondar, H.Kernes, V.Homutynnik) 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.2 0.8
AU “Batkivshchyna” (Y.Tymoshenko) 6.5 6.8 8.3 6.4 3.7 4.0
AU “Svoboda” (O.Tiahnybok) 2.0 4.6 1.3 0.9 0.8 0.8
“Hromadianska pozytsia” (A.Hrytsenko) 3.3 4.2 3.9 1.9 1.5 5.1
“Za zhyttia” (V.Rabinovych, Y.Muraiev) 3.9 1.2 2.9 4.6 6.3 11.4
“Narodnyi front” (A.Yatseniuk, O.Turchynov, A.Parubii) 0.7 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.6 1.6
“NASH KRAI” (O.Mazurchak, A.Kisse, S.Kaltsev, Y.Hranaturov) 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.0 1.5
“Obiednannia “Samopomich” (A.Sadovyi) 2.8 5.1 2.5 0.0 1.9 2.5
“Opozytsiynyi block” (Y.Boiko, B.Kolesnikov, Y.Vilkul) 4.1 1.1 2.1 5.0 9.3 9.4
Radical party of Oleh Liashko 3.8 5.0 3.9 3.7 2.0 4.6
“Rukh novykh syl” (M.Saakashvili) 1.2 1.9 1.0 0.0 0.9 1.9
Socialist party (S.Kaplin) 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.0 0.0
Ukrainian union of patriots “UKROP” (T.Batenko, I.Palytsia, B.Filatov) 1.4 1.6 1.1 0.0 2.8 0.0
Other party 0.6 0.3 0.5 1.6 0.3 1.7
WOULD NOT PARTICIPATE 17.1 13.4 15.2 22.2 21.2 20.8
WOULD SPOIL THE BALLOT 3.6 3.7 3.6 5.4 1.6 6.2
DIFICULT TO SAY/HAVE NOT DECIDED YET 38.7 41.8 40.9 40.4 35.9 18.5
DENIAL FROM ANSWERING 2.8 1.1 5.0 0.5 3.3 0.7

 

Would you participate in voting, if the elections of the President of Ukraine were held now? IF “YES”, PASS THE CARD AND ASK: Whom would you vote for if the following candidates participated? 

100% in column Ukraine in general West Center South East Donbas
Yurii Boiko 3.6 1.3 2.2 4.5 6.0 12.8
Anatolii Hrytsenko 4.9 7.4 5.9 2.5 1.7 3.7
Volodymyr Hroisman 1.4 1.3 1.8 0.5 1.4 0.9
Oleh Liashko 3.5 4.4 3.4 3.3 2.6 4.2
Petro Poroshenko 6.5 6.4 6.7 6.1 4.6 12.8
Vadym Rabinovych 3.0 1.2 2.3 4.2 4.2 8.5
Andrii Sadovyi 3.2 5.5 2.7 0.0 1.9 7.0
Yulia Tymoshenko 7.9 7.7 10.3 7.1 4.6 6.8
Oleh Tiahnybok 1.2 2.7 1.2 0.0 0.5 0.0
Arsenii Yatseniuk 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0
Another candidate 2.7 1.5 2.2 1.5 6.0 2.8
WOULD NOT PARTICIPATE 15.3 11.3 12.7 22.4 20.9 15.7
WOULD SPOIL THE BALLOT 4.5 4.8 4.2 5.3 3.0 8.4
DIFICULT TO SAY/HAVE NOT DECIDED YET 39.1 43.0 39.2 41.0 39.6 15.5
DENIAL FROM ANSWERING 2.7 1.1 4.3 1.7 2.9 0.9

 

 


19.12.2017
Go up | Back
FILTR BY DATE
Year:
Month: