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Opinions and views of the population on the eve of the start of the presidential election campaign

The data of the research that was conducted at the request of the public organization "All-Ukrainian Blockchain Association" by Kyiv International Institute of Sociology was presented on December 19, 2018 during the presentation of the "Koalitsiia natsionalnoi yednosti (Coalition of National Unity)" initiative at a press conference in the Ukrainian Crisis Media Center. Below are the major results of this survey.

 

On November 30 – December 14, 2018, Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) conducted its own all-Ukrainian public opinion poll. Data were collected from 2034 respondents living in 110 settlements (PSU) in all regions of Ukraine (except for the AR of Crimea) with the method of personal interviewing. The sample was stochastic, 4-staged, and it is representative of the population of Ukraine aged 18 and above.

In Luhansk and Donetsk oblasts survey was conducted only in the territories that are controlled by the Ukrainian government.

The statistical sampling error (with a probability of 0.95 and for a design effect of 1.5) does not exceed: 3.3% — for indexes close to 50%, 2.8% — for indexes close to 25%, 2.0% — for indexes close to 10%, 1.4% — for indexes close to 5%.

           

Imagine that the elections of the President of Ukraine are happening now, and you are visited by the representatives of the election commission. Here is the ballot for voting. Whom would you vote for, if the following candidates participated?

 

Roman Bezsmertnyi 0.5
Andrii Biletskyi 0.2
Inna Bohoslovska 0.0
Yurii Boiko 6.2
Victor Bondar 0.1
Ivan Bubenchyk 0.3
Sviatoslav Vakarchuk 2.7
Oleksandr Vilkul 1.0
Dmytro Gnap 0.1
Anatolii Hrytsenko 5.4
Yurii Derevianko 0.1
Mykhailo Dobkin 0.2
Dmytro Dobrodomov 0.2
Volodymyr Zelenskyi 10.6
Serhii Kaplin 0.3
Mykola Katerynchuk 0.0
Illia Kyva 0.1
Ruslan Koshulynskyi 0.2
Vitalii Kuprii 0.0
Oleh Liashko 7.0
Yevhenii Muraiev 2.3
Valentyn Nalyvaichenko 0.5
Roman Nasirov 0.0
Oleksandr Onyshchenko 0.0
Petro Poroshenko 6.8
Serhii Rudyk 0.0
Nadiia Savchenko 0.1
Andrii Sadovyi 1.7
Petro Symonenko 0.2
Vitalii Skotsyk 0.0
Oleksandr Soloviov 0.0
Serhii Taruta 0.5
Mykola Tomenko 0.0
Michel Tereshchenko 0.2
Yuliia Tymoshenko 11.5
Victor Chumak 0.0
Oleksandr Shevchenko 3.2
Another candidate 0.6
WOULD CROSS OUT ALL THE CANDIDATES/WOULD SPOIL THE BALLOT 4.4
DIFFICULT TO SAY/UNDECIDED 23.2
DENIAL FROM ANSWERING 0.9
WOULD NOT PARTICIPATE IN VOTING 8.7

 

Whom would you vote for, if the following candidates participated?

Roman Bezsmertnyi self-nominated 0.8
Yurii Boiko (with the support of V.Rabinovych, O.Vilkul, Y.Muraiev) PP “Opozytsiina platforma – Za jyttia (Opposition Platform – For Life)” 8.5
Anatolii Hrytsenko (single candidate of the democratic forces with the support of S.Vakarchuk, A.Sadovyi, D.Gnap, M.Tereshchenko, V.Chumak) PP “Hromadianska pozytsia (Civil Position)” 7.4
Dmytro Dobrodomov PP “Narodnyi control (Public Control)” 0.6
Volodymyr Zelenskyi (with the support of O.Shevchenko) PP “Sluha narodu (Servant Of the People)” 13.1
Ruslan Koshchylynskyi PP “Svoboda (Freedom)” 0.6
Oleh Liashko PP “Radical party of Oleh Liashko” 7.8
Valentyn Nalyvaichenko PP “Spravedlyvist – Rukh Valentyna Nalyvaichenka (Justice – Movement of Valentyn Nalyvaichenko) 0.4
Petro Poroshenko PP “Block of Petro Poroshenko “Solidarnist (Solidarity)” 7.1
Serhii Taruta PP “Osnova (Basis)” 0.7
Yuliia Tymoshenko PP “AU Batkivshchyna (Motherland)” 12.6
Another candidate   1.2
WOULD CROSS OUT ALL THE CANDIDATES/WOULD SPOIL THE BALLOT   4.9
DIFFICULT TO SAY/UNDECIDED   23.7
DENIAL FROM ANSWERING   1.4
WOULD NOT PARTICIPATE IN VOTING   9.1

 

And what would be your choice, if the following candidates participated?

Roman Bezsmertnyi self-nominated 0.8
Yurii Boiko (with the support of V.Rabinovych, O.Vilkul, Y.Muraiev) PP “Opozytsiina platforma – Za jyttia (Opposition Platform – For Life)” 8.5
Sviatoslav Vakarchuk (single candidate of the democratic forces with the support of A.Hrytsenko, A.Sadovyi, D.Gnap, M.Tereshchenko, V.Chumak) self-nominated 5.9
Dmytro Dobrodomov PP “Narodnyi control (Public Control)” 0.5
Volodymyr Zelenskyi (with the support of O.Shevchenko) PP “Sluha narodu (Servant Of the People)” 12.8
Ruslan Koshchylynskyi PP “Svoboda (Freedom)” 0.3
Oleh Liashko PP “Radical party of Oleh Liashko” 8.2
Valentyn Nalyvaichenko PP “Spravedlyvist – Rukh Valentyna Nalyvaichenka (Justice – Movement of Valentyn Nalyvaichenko) 0.6
Petro Poroshenko PP “Block of Petro Poroshenko “Solidarnist (Solidarity)” 7.1
Serhii Taruta PP “Osnova (Basis)” 0.7
Yuliia Tymoshenko PP “AU Batkivshchyna (Motherland)” 12.8
Another candidate   1.2
WOULD CROSS OUT ALL THE CANDIDATES/WOULD SPOIL THE BALLOT   5.1
DIFFICULT TO SAY/UNDECIDED   24.8
DENIAL FROM ANSWERING   1.4
WOULD NOT PARTICIPATE IN VOTING   9.2

 


And what would be your choice, if the following candidates participated?

Roman Bezsmertnyi self-nominated 0.8
Yurii Boiko (with the support of V.Rabinovych, O.Vilkul, Y.Muraiev) PP “Opozytsiina platforma – Za jyttia (Opposition Platform – For Life)” 8.7
Dmytro Dobrodomov PP “Narodnyi control (Public Control)” 0.5
Volodymyr Zelenskyi (with the support of O.Shevchenko) PP “Sluha narodu (Servant Of the People)” 13.6
Ruslan Koshchylynskyi PP “Svoboda (Freedom)” 0.5
Oleh Liashko PP “Radical party of Oleh Liashko” 8.2
Valentyn Nalyvaichenko PP “Spravedlyvist – Rukh Valentyna Nalyvaichenka (Justice – Movement of Valentyn Nalyvaichenko) 0.9
Petro Poroshenko PP “Block of Petro Poroshenko “Solidarnist (Solidarity)” 6.9
Andrii Sadovyi (single candidate of the democratic forces with the support of A.Hrytsenko, S.Vakarchuk, D.Gnap, M.Tereshchenko, V.Chumak) PP “Samopomich (Self-help)” 5.1
Serhii Taruta PP “Osnova (Basis)” 0.5
Yuliia Tymoshenko PP “AU Batkivshchyna (Motherland)” 12.7
Another candidate   1.2
WOULD CROSS OUT ALL THE CANDIDATES/WOULD SPOIL THE BALLOT   5.1
DIFFICULT TO SAY/UNDECIDED   25.0
DENIAL FROM ANSWERING   1.1
WOULD NOT PARTICIPATE IN VOTING   9.1

 

Do you support the nomination of a single presidential candidate from the democratic forces (A.Hrytsenko, S.Vakarchuk, A.Sadovyi, D.Gnap, M.Tereshchenko, V.Chumak)?

 

Yes 26.1
No 23.9
INDIFFERENT 33.6
DIFFICULT TO SAY 16.4

 

Who of them should be a single presidential candidate from the democratic forces?

(% among those who answered “YES” to the previous question)

Anatolii Hrytsenko 51.3
Sviatoslav Vakarchuk 20.5
Andrii Sadovyi 13.3
Dmytro Gnap 0.7
Michel Tereshchenko 0.6
Victor Chumal 1.0
Another candidate 2.6
DIFFICULT TO SAY/DO NOT KNOW 10.1

 


 

28.12.2018
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