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RESULTS OF THE SURVEY OF KIIS IN THE FRAMEWORK OF THE "MOBILISE" PROJECT HELD MAY 26-JUNE 1

About the "MOBILISE" project: Since 2019, KIIS has been cooperating with Olga Onuch, professor of comparative and Ukrainian politics at the University of Manchester, and her colleagues within the "MOBILISE" project. (It is worth noting that the "Choven" publishing house recently published a Ukrainian-language translation of the work "The Zelenskyi Effect" by Olga Onuch and Henry Gale, which, in particular, uses KIIS data.)

The MOBILISE Project aims to understand the determinants of ‘mobilisation’ (in the broader sense of political mobilization of society / citizens, not just military conscription) at home and abroad through a multi-wave, nationally representative panel survey. The survey collects data on citizens’ attitudes towards protests, migration, political engagement, and sociopolitical factors. This project spans four countries: Ukraine, Poland, Argentina, and Morocco. Thus, the primary aim of the MOBILISE survey is to collect information on citizens’ attitudes towards and personal experiences of protest and migration, along with other political, sociological, and demographic factors. This survey series also provides insights into shifts in attitudes over time, especially in the context of ongoing war in Ukraine.

During this period, KIIS conducted a number of surveys, in particular, in May 2024, questions were added to the regular KIIS Omnibus (the survey was conducted between May 26 and June 1, and 2,011 adult residents of territories under the control of the Government of Ukraine were interviewed by  the method of telephone interviews).

 

The results of the last wave of the survey (this data was collected by the MOBILISE project French team headed by Sorana Toma): at this link you can read the full version of the results (in English) prepared by the co-authors of the project: Onuch O., Doyle D., Ersanilli E., Sasse G., Toma S., Van Stekelenburg J.


Below is a summary of individual main results (May 26-June 1, 2024):

  • During the interview, respondents were asked to agree or disagree with a number of statements. One of the statements: "Zelenskyi should be President until the end of martial law". 70% of respondents agreed that V. Zelenskyi should remain President until the end of martial law (disagree with this - 22%). Depending on the region of residence, 65-74% of respondents agree with this, i.e. the vast majority of Ukrainians do not question the legitimacy of the President;
  • The majority of Ukrainians (56%) rather or completely approve of the activity of V. Zelenskyi as the President of Ukraine (rather or completely disapprove - 37%). In a previous survey in September 2023, 77% approved of his activity. Accordingly, the level of approval has decreased significantly, but remains at a high level. In addition, respondents were asked to answer which of the eight words/phrases best describes the attitude towards the President. Although there is indeed a tendency to decrease the share of those who admire the President (from 33% in July 2022 to 8% now), in general, the majority of Ukrainians (69%) have a neutral-positive attitude (with more pronounced neutrality, restraint);
  • The majority of Ukrainians (58%) agree with the statement that "Ukrainian authorities should not make compromises in negotiations. Ukraine will continue the struggle as long as necessary" (disagree with this statement - 30%). The share of those who agree with this statement has decreased since the last two years (in May 2022, the indicator was 80%), but currently, most Ukrainians are still in favor of continuing the struggle as long as necessary. At the same time, 65% agree with the statement that the results of possible negotiations with Russia should be submitted to a referendum (disagree with this - 25%);
  • Among Ukrainians, there is no expressed attitude towards the Law on Mobilization (which, apparently, is a consequence of understanding that the country needs to improve recruitment procedures, own fears and concerns, as well as the fact that the Law itself covers different areas). Thus, respondents were asked to express agreement or disagreement with the statement "I support the new law on mobilization." 34% of respondents agreed (rather or completely) with this statement. At the same time, 20% rather disagreed, and 32% completely disagreed (and another 14% did not answer the question). It is worth emphasizing that disagreeing with a statement is not the same as people being against it (much less indicative of an attitude towards the need for mobilization itself or the need to push back against the enemy). Undoubtedly, some of those who disagree are opponents. At the same time, another part may disagree only with certain components of the Law or have a restrained, neutral attitude.

17.6.2024
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