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Assessment of the situation in Ukraine and perception of parties and politicians: October 2020

 

From October 8 to 15, 2020, the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) conducted an all-Ukrainian public opinion poll. By the method of personal interview using a tablet (CAPI), 1009 respondents living in 73 settlements of all regions of Ukraine (except the Autonomous Republic of Crimea) were interviewed by a 3-stage stochastic sample with quota selection at the last stage, which is representative of the population of Ukraine aged 18 and over.

In Luhansk and Donetsk oblasts, the survey was conducted only in the territory controlled by the Ukrainian authorities.

Statistical sampling error (with a probability of 0.95 and without taking into account the design effect) does not exceed: 3.1% for indicators close to 50%, 2.7% - for indicators close to 25%, 2.1% - for indicators close to 12%, 1.4% - for indicators close to 5%.


Assessment of the direction of affairs in Ukraine and top problems

 

The majority of respondents - 69.5% - believe that things are going in the wrong direction in Ukraine. Believe that in the right direction - 21%. In all regions, the majority of respondents believe that things are moving in the wrong direction [1].

 

Diagram 1

In your opinion, things are going in the right or wrong direction in Ukraine now?

 

 

 


The top 3 problems, according to the respondents (who were offered the list), are the war in Donbas (63% of respondents consider this problem to be in the top 3), corruption (53%) and unemployment (43%). This is followed by utility tariffs (29%) and economic crisis prevention / economic development (28%). Control of the spread of coronavirus is only in 8th place (11%).

 

Diagram 2

In your opinion, which three problems from this list are the most important for Ukraine?

 


Perception of parties: which parties are primarily associated with corruption, European integration, impeccable reputation

 

            During the survey, respondents were asked to answer which 5 parties from the list they most associate with corruption, European integration, impeccable reputation. Most respondents associate with corruption parties "YeS" (49%), "Batkivshchyna" ("Motherland") (32%) and "OPZZh" (31%). 14% each called the "Opozytsiinyi blok" ("Opositional Block") and "Sluha narodu" ("Servant of the People").

            "YeS" is most associated with European integration (53.5%). Next are "Sluha narodu" ("Servant of the People") (21.5%), "Batkivshchyna" ("Motherland")(21%), "Holos" "Voice" (11%).

            71% of respondents could not name at least 1 party, which, in their opinion, is associated with "impeccable reputation". Relatively most respondents named "Sluha narodu" ("Servant of the People") (6%), "Syla i chest" ("Strength and Honor") (5%), "YeS" (5%), "OPZZh" (4,5%).

 

 

Diagram 3 à-â

 

à. Which of these parties do you associate the most with corruption? Choose up to 5 options. á. And which parties do you associate with Ukraine's integration direction into the European Union? Choose up to 5 options. â. And which of these parties have an impeccable reputation? Choose up to 5 options.

 

 


 

Perception of politicians: who is primarily associated with corruption, impeccable reputation

 

            During the interview, respondents were asked which of the 10 politicians on the list they most associate with corruption and which with an impeccable reputation. Most respondents associate with corruption P. Poroshenko (53%), YuTymoshenko (35%), V. Medvedchuk (29.5%), Yu. Boiko (24%). Next is V. Zelenskyi (10%).

            68% respondents cannot name any politician on the list who, in their opinion, has an "impeccable reputation". V. Zelenskyi (12%) and S. Prytula (9%) were relatively often named.

 

Diagram 3à-á

à. And which of these politicians, in your opinion, is most involved in corruption scandals? Choose up to 5 answers. á. And which of these politicians, in your opinion, has an impeccable reputation? Choose up to 5 answers.

 

 


Annex 1. Formulation of questions from the questionnaire

 

In your opinion, things are going in the right or wrong direction in Ukraine now?
(% among all respondents)

100% in the column The respondent was shown a card with answer options Ukraine as a whole West Center South East Donbas
In the right direction 5,0 5,7 6,0 0,8 5,4 2,8
Basically, in the right direction 16,3 15,2 16,6 10,0 24,5 5,6
Basically, in the wrong direction 29,3 29,5 27,5 35,0 30,9 23,6
In the wrong direction 40,2 43,2 39,5 40,0 36,3 44,4
DIFFICULT TO SAY (DO NOT READ) 9,1 6,4 10,3 14,2 2,9 22,2
REFUSAL TO ANSWER (DO NOT READ) 0,1 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 1,4
 
In your opinion, which THREE problems from this list are the most important for Ukraine? Please select three problems and name them in order of importance. The first is the MOST important problem, the second is the second most important, and so on.
Ukraine as a whole
(% among all respondents)

100% in the column The respondent was shown a card with answer options ¹1 ¹2 ¹3
Unemployment 22,8 11,5 8,9
Corruption 25,8 18,7 8,3
The war in the Donbas 25,7 20,9 16,1
Return of control over the Crimea 0,8 2,0 2,1
Utility tariffs 5,9 10,6 12,3
Prevent economic crisis, economic development 7,3 9,5 11,0
Improving the education system 0,6 1,9 2,9
Control of the spread of coronavirus 2,0 5,1 4,3
Improving the health care system 2,2 5,5 11,2
Decentralization, expansion of powers of local authorities 0,3 1,3 1,8
Cancellation of the launch of the land market 0,9 3,2 4,1
Reducing crime 0,5 1,3 1,8
Expanding the scope of the Ukrainian language 0,1 0,6 0,5
Raising the status of the Russian language 0,1 0,2 0,4
Increasing social benefits - pensions, benefits, etc. 3,4 5,1 8,1
Improving the infrastructure of our country, such as roads, etc. 0,4 1,0 3,5
Other 0,5 0,4 0,6
DIFFICULT TO SAY (DO NOT READ) 0,8 1,4 2,3
REFUSAL TO ANSWER (DO NOT READ) 0,0 0,0 0,0

 

In your opinion, which THREE problems from this list are the most important for Ukraine? Please select three problems and name them in order of importance. The first is the MOST important problem, the second is the second most important, and so on.
West (% among all respondents)

100% in the column The respondent was shown a card with answer options ¹1 ¹2 ¹3
Unemployment 34,1 16,3 12,5
Corruption 28,4 23,5 6,8
The war in the Donbas 20,1 20,8 20,5
Return of control over the Crimea 0,0 1,9 2,7
Utility tariffs 4,2 10,2 9,1
Prevent economic crisis, economic development 3,8 7,6 13,3
Improving the education system 0,4 0,8 4,2
Control of the spread of coronavirus 2,7 4,9 4,5
Improving the health care system 2,3 4,5 11,4
Decentralization, expansion of powers of local authorities 0,0 0,8 0,4
Cancellation of the launch of the land market 0,8 2,7 3,0
Reducing crime 0,0 0,4 1,1
Expanding the scope of the Ukrainian language 0,0 0,4 0,8
Raising the status of the Russian language 0,0 0,0 0,0
Increasing social benefits - pensions, benefits, etc. 2,3 3,0 6,4
Improving the infrastructure of our country, such as roads, etc. 0,4 1,5 3,0
Other 0,4 0,4 0,0
DIFFICULT TO SAY (DO NOT READ) 0,4 0,4 0,4
REFUSAL TO ANSWER (DO NOT READ) 0,0 0,0 0,0

 

 

 In your opinion, which THREE problems from this list are the most important for Ukraine? Please select three problems and name them in order of importance. The first is the MOST important problem, the second is the second most important, and so on.
Center (% among all respondents)

100% in the column The respondent was shown a card with answer options ¹1 ¹2 ¹3
Unemployment 18,6 10,3 8,9
Corruption 26,9 20,1 7,4
The war in the Donbas 26,9 18,1 15,8
Return of control over the Crimea 0,6 1,4 1,1
Utility tariffs 4,3 9,7 9,2
Prevent economic crisis, economic development 11,5 11,2 11,5
Improving the education system 0,6 1,7 4,3
Control of the spread of coronavirus 0,6 3,7 3,4
Improving the health care system 2,6 7,4 12,0
Decentralization, expansion of powers of local authorities 0,0 0,9 1,7
Cancellation of the launch of the land market 0,9 2,9 3,2
Reducing crime 0,6 0,9 1,4
Expanding the scope of the Ukrainian language 0,0 0,6 0,6
Raising the status of the Russian language 0,0 0,0 0,0
Increasing social benefits - pensions, benefits, etc. 3,4 6,3 9,2
Improving the infrastructure of our country, such as roads, etc. 0,6 1,7 5,4
Other 0,9 0,9 1,1
DIFFICULT TO SAY (DO NOT READ) 1,1 2,3 3,7
REFUSAL TO ANSWER (DO NOT READ) 0,0 0,0 0,0

 

 

 In your opinion, which THREE problems from this list are the most important for Ukraine? Please select three problems and name them in order of importance. The first is the MOST important problem, the second is the second most important, and so on.
South (% among all respondents)

100% in the column The respondent was shown a card with answer options ¹1 ¹2 ¹3
Unemployment 20,0 8,3 8,3
Corruption 22,5 21,7 16,7
The war in the Donbas 26,7 25,8 16,7
Return of control over the Crimea 0,8 3,3 0,8
Utility tariffs 6,7 8,3 14,2
Prevent economic crisis, economic development 11,7 8,3 7,5
Improving the education system 1,7 2,5 0,8
Control of the spread of coronavirus 2,5 3,3 4,2
Improving the health care system 3,3 5,8 8,3
Decentralization, expansion of powers of local authorities 0,8 2,5 3,3
Cancellation of the launch of the land market 0,0 1,7 5,8
Reducing crime 0,8 4,2 1,7
Expanding the scope of the Ukrainian language 0,0 0,0 0,0
Raising the status of the Russian language 0,8 0,0 0,0
Increasing social benefits - pensions, benefits, etc. 1,7 4,2 7,5
Improving the infrastructure of our country, such as roads, etc. 0,0 0,0 3,3
Other 0,0 0,0 0,8
DIFFICULT TO SAY (DO NOT READ) 0,0 0,0 0,0
REFUSAL TO ANSWER (DO NOT READ) 0,0 0,0 0,0

 

 

 In your opinion, which THREE problems from this list are the most important for Ukraine? Please select three problems and name them in order of importance. The first is the MOST important problem, the second is the second most important, and so on.
East (% among all respondents)

100% in the column The respondent was shown a card with answer options ¹1 ¹2 ¹3
Unemployment 10,3 7,8 6,9
Corruption 29,9 13,2 6,9
The war in the Donbas 29,9 24,0 12,7
Return of control over the Crimea 2,0 2,9 4,4
Utility tariffs 9,3 11,8 15,2
Prevent economic crisis, economic development 4,4 10,3 11,8
Improving the education system 0,5 3,9 1,0
Control of the spread of coronavirus 3,4 4,4 3,4
Improving the health care system 0,5 2,9 10,3
Decentralization, expansion of powers of local authorities 1,0 2,5 3,4
Cancellation of the launch of the land market 1,0 5,9 4,4
Reducing crime 1,0 2,0 3,4
Expanding the scope of the Ukrainian language 0,5 1,0 0,0
Raising the status of the Russian language 0,0 1,0 1,5
Increasing social benefits - pensions, benefits, etc. 4,4 3,9 8,8
Improving the infrastructure of our country, such as roads, etc. 0,5 0,0 2,0
Other 0,0 0,0 0,0
DIFFICULT TO SAY (DO NOT READ) 1,5 2,5 3,9
REFUSAL TO ANSWER (DO NOT READ) 0,0 0,0 0,0

 

 

 In your opinion, which THREE problems from this list are the most important for Ukraine? Please select three problems and name them in order of importance. The first is the MOST important problem, the second is the second most important, and so on.
Donbas (% among all respondents)

100% in the column The respondent was shown a card with answer options ¹1 ¹2 ¹3
Unemployment 41,7 15,3 2,8
Corruption 4,2 5,6 8,3
The war in the Donbas 26,4 18,1 9,7
Return of control over the Crimea 1,4 0,0 0,0
Utility tariffs 9,7 16,7 27,8
Prevent economic crisis, economic development 1,4 8,3 4,2
Improving the education system 0,0 0,0 0,0
Control of the spread of coronavirus 1,4 16,7 9,7
Improving the health care system 2,8 5,6 13,9
Decentralization, expansion of powers of local authorities 0,0 0,0 0,0
Cancellation of the launch of the land market 2,8 1,4 8,3
Reducing crime 0,0 0,0 1,4
Expanding the scope of the Ukrainian language 0,0 1,4 1,4
Raising the status of the Russian language 0,0 0,0 1,4
Increasing social benefits - pensions, benefits, etc. 6,9 11,1 8,3
Improving the infrastructure of our country, such as roads, etc. 0,0 0,0 0,0
Other 1,4 0,0 1,4
DIFFICULT TO SAY (DO NOT READ) 0,0 0,0 1,4
REFUSAL TO ANSWER (DO NOT READ) 0,0 0,0 0,0

 

 


Which of these parties do you associate the most with corruption? Choose up to 5 options.
(% among all respondents)

% in the column The respondent was shown a card with answer options Ukraine as a whole West Center South East Donbas
"Batkivshchyna" (Yuliia Tymoshenko) 32,4 21,2 32,4 35,0 46,6 29,2
"Holos" (Kira Rudyk, Serhii Prytula) 1,7 1,9 2,0 1,7 1,5 0,0
"Za Maibutnie" ("Ihor Palytsia") 2,6 4,9 2,9 0,0 1,0 1,4
"Yevropeiska Solidarnist" (Petro Poroshenko) 49,2 28,8 47,6 66,7 61,3 68,1
"Opozytsiina platforma – Za zhyttia!" (Yurii Boiko, Viktor Medvedchuk, Vadym Rabinovych) 30,7 47,7 30,9 13,3 26,5 8,3
"Opozytsiinyi Blok" (Oleksandr Vilkul) 14,3 26,1 12,9 7,5 9,8 1,4
"Sharii’s Party" 4,3 10,2 3,2 0,8 2,0 0,0
"ProPozytsiia" (Borys Filatov, Oleksandr Sienkevych, Oleksii Kaspruk, Serhii Sukhomlyn, Andrii Raikovych, Andrii Diachenko) 4,8 7,6 1,4 0,8 10,3 1,4
"Svoboda" (Oleh Tiahnybok) 4,4 3,8 2,9 10,8 4,9 1,4
"Syla i Chest" (Ihor Smeshko) 0,6 0,4 0,9 0,0 1,0 0,0
"Sluha narodu" (Oleksandr Korniienko) 13,6 17,4 14,3 15,8 10,8 0,0
"UDAR" (Vitalii Klychko) 4,1 4,2 4,9 5,0 2,5 2,8
Hroisman's Ukrainian Strategy 6,6 6,8 5,4 15,8 5,4 0,0
Oleh Liashko's Radical Party 4,9 5,3 4,9 4,2 5,9 1,4
Other 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0
UNDECIDED (DO NOT READ) 21,2 23,5 22,3 18,3 16,7 25,0
REFUSAL TO ANSWER (DO NOT READ) 3,7 4,5 4,3 1,7 2,9 2,8

 

 

 And which parties do you associate with Ukraine's integration direction into the European Union? Choose up to 5 options.
(% among all respondents)

% in the column The respondent was shown a card with answer options Ukraine as a whole West Center South East Donbas
"Batkivshchyna" (Yuliia Tymoshenko) 20,7 20,8 14,9 29,2 21,1 33,3
"Holos" (Kira Rudyk, Serhii Prytula) 10,9 11,7 8,3 32,5 4,9 1,4
"Za Maibutnie" ("Ihor Palytsia") 4,5 9,1 3,2 4,2 2,5 0,0
"Yevropeiska Solidarnist" (Petro Poroshenko) 53,5 53,4 49,9 77,5 52,0 36,1
"Opozytsiina platforma – Za zhyttia!" (Yurii Boiko, Viktor Medvedchuk, Vadym Rabinovych) 2,1 1,5 1,4 0,0 5,9 0,0
"Opozytsiinyi Blok" (Oleksandr Vilkul) 1,2 1,1 0,9 2,5 1,0 1,4
"Sharii’s Party" 1,2 1,1 1,1 0,0 2,5 0,0
"ProPozytsiia" (Borys Filatov, Oleksandr Sienkevych, Oleksii Kaspruk, Serhii Sukhomlyn, Andrii Raikovych, Andrii Diachenko) 1,4 0,4 0,9 3,3 2,9 0,0
"Svoboda" (Oleh Tiahnybok) 7,1 9,8 3,7 13,3 4,4 11,1
"Syla i Chest" (Ihor Smeshko) 4,1 7,6 3,4 3,3 2,5 0,0
"Sluha narodu" (Oleksandr Korniienko) 21,5 16,7 19,2 30,8 26,5 20,8
"UDAR" (Vitalii Klychko) 5,7 1,5 6,9 19,2 2,0 4,2
Hroisman's Ukrainian Strategy 7,1 3,4 8,9 15,8 6,4 0,0
Oleh Liashko's Radical Party 1,3 1,5 1,4 0,0 0,5 4,2
Other 0,1 0,4 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0
UNDECIDED (DO NOT READ) 23,3 17,8 25,5 11,7 23,5 51,4
REFUSAL TO ANSWER (DO NOT READ) 5,1 3,8 6,9 4,2 4,9 2,8

 

 

 And which of these parties have an impeccable reputation? Choose up to 5 options.
(% among all respondents)

% in the column The respondent was shown a card with answer options Ukraine as a whole West Center South East Donbas
"Batkivshchyna" (Yuliia Tymoshenko) 3,4 2,7 5,4 0,8 3,4 0,0
"Holos" (Kira Rudyk, Serhii Prytula) 3,3 4,5 3,2 2,5 3,4 0,0
"Za Maibutnie" ("Ihor Palytsia") 1,8 3,0 1,4 1,7 1,5 0,0
"Yevropeiska Solidarnist" (Petro Poroshenko) 4,6 4,9 6,3 2,5 2,5 4,2
"Opozytsiina platforma – Za zhyttia!" (Yurii Boiko, Viktor Medvedchuk, Vadym Rabinovych) 4,5 1,1 2,9 10,0 8,3 4,2
"Opozytsiinyi Blok" (Oleksandr Vilkul) 1,0 0,8 0,3 0,8 2,9 0,0
"Sharii’s Party" 1,8 0,8 1,7 1,7 2,9 2,8
"ProPozytsiia" (Borys Filatov, Oleksandr Sienkevych, Oleksii Kaspruk, Serhii Sukhomlyn, Andrii Raikovych, Andrii Diachenko) 0,6 0,0 0,6 0,0 2,0 0,0
"Svoboda" (Oleh Tiahnybok) 1,2 1,1 2,3 0,0 0,5 0,0
"Syla i Chest" (Ihor Smeshko) 4,8 5,7 6,3 3,3 3,4 0,0
"Sluha narodu" (Oleksandr Korniienko) 6,2 5,3 4,0 4,2 10,8 11,1
"UDAR" (Vitalii Klychko) 0,9 0,4 2,3 0,0 0,0 0,0
Hroisman's Ukrainian Strategy 1,5 1,1 3,4 0,0 0,0 0,0
Oleh Liashko's Radical Party 1,5 2,3 1,7 0,8 1,0 0,0
Other 0,7 1,1 0,3 0,0 1,5 0,0
UNDECIDED (DO NOT READ) 58,4 59,8 55,3 53,3 57,8 77,8
REFUSAL TO ANSWER (DO NOT READ) 12,7 11,7 14,6 22,5 9,3 0,0

 


And which of these politicians, in your opinion, is most involved in corruption scandals? Choose up to 5 answers.
(% among all respondents)

% in the column The respondent was shown a card with answer options Ukraine as a whole West Center South East Donbas
Volodymyr Zelenskyi - President of Ukraine 10,4 13,6 10,9 9,2 9,8 0,0
Denys Shmyhal - the Prime Minister 5,7 5,7 6,0 11,7 3,4 1,4
Dmytro Razumkov - Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada 2,5 3,0 1,7 0,8 4,4 1,4
Oleksandr Korniienko - leader of the "Sluha narodu" party 2,1 3,4 2,0 2,5 1,0 0,0
Yurii Boiko - one of the leaders of the "Opozytsiina Platforma – Za Zhyttia!" party 24,0 34,5 28,9 12,5 16,7 1,4
Viktor Medvedchuk - one of the leaders of the "Opozytsiina Platforma – Za Zhyttia!" party 29,5 43,9 33,5 16,7 19,6 6,9
Petro Poroshenko - leader of the "Yevropeiska Solidarnist" party 52,9 29,5 53,6 72,5 66,2 65,3
Yuliia Tymoshenko - leader of "Batkivshchyna" party 35,2 25,8 35,0 41,7 52,0 12,5
Kira Rudyk - leader of the "Holos" party, an IT entrepreneur 0,4 1,1 0,3 0,0 0,0 0,0
Serhii Prytula - volunteer, showman, candidate from the "Holos" party in the Kyiv mayoral election 1,3 3,4 0,0 1,7 1,0 0,0
DIFFICULT TO SAY (DO NOT READ) 23,2 30,7 24,1 14,2 13,7 33,3
REFUSAL TO ANSWER (DO NOT READ) 1,9 1,5 3,2 1,7 1,0 0,0

 

 
 And which of these politicians, in your opinion, has an impeccable reputation? Choose up to 5 answers.
(% among all respondents)

% in the column The respondent was shown a card with answer options Ukraine as a whole West Center South East Donbas
Volodymyr Zelenskyi - President of Ukraine 12,2 11,0 9,7 11,7 19,6 8,3
Denys Shmyhal - the Prime Minister 1,9 3,0 0,6 0,8 3,9 0,0
Dmytro Razumkov - Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada 4,9 4,9 4,9 6,7 5,4 0,0
Oleksandr Korniienko - leader of the "Sluha narodu" party 1,8 2,3 0,6 1,7 3,4 1,4
Yurii Boiko - one of the leaders of the "Opozytsiina Platforma – Za Zhyttia!" party 4,1 1,1 2,9 10,0 7,4 1,4
Viktor Medvedchuk - one of the leaders of the "Opozytsiina Platforma – Za Zhyttia!" party 2,8 0,8 1,4 6,7 6,4 0,0
Petro Poroshenko - leader of the "Yevropeiska Solidarnist" party 3,7 4,9 4,9 1,7 2,0 1,4
Yuliia Tymoshenko - leader of "Batkivshchyna" party 3,0 3,0 3,4 0,8 4,4 0,0
Kira Rudyk - leader of the "Holos" party, an IT entrepreneur 2,2 0,8 2,3 0,8 4,9 1,4
Serhii Prytula - volunteer, showman, candidate from the "Holos" party in the Kyiv mayoral election 9,2 10,6 12,0 5,0 7,8 1,4
DIFFICULT TO SAY (DO NOT READ) 61,1 62,9 60,5 57,5 52,9 86,1
REFUSAL TO ANSWER (DO NOT READ) 6,7 6,4 8,0 10,8 4,9 0,0

[1] Composition of macro-regions: Western macro-region - Volyn, Rivne. Lviv, Ivano-Frankivsk, Ternopil, Zakarpattia, Khmelnytskyi, Chernivtsi regions; Central macroregion - Vinnytsia, Zhytomyr, Sumy, Chernihiv, Poltava, Kirovohrad, Cherkasy, Kyiv regions, Kyiv city, Southern macroregion - Mykolaiv, Kherson, Odesa regions, Eastern macroregion - Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia and Kharkiv regions, Donbas – Donetsk and Luhansk regions.

 


19.10.2020
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