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17
june
2024
RESULTS OF THE SURVEY OF KIIS IN THE FRAMEWORK OF THE "MOBILISE" PROJECT HELD MAY 26-JUNE 1

About the "MOBILISE" project: Since 2019, KIIS has been cooperating with Olga Onuch, professor of comparative and Ukrainian politics at the University of Manchester, and her colleagues within the "MOBILISE" project. (It is worth noting that the "Choven" publishing house recently published a Ukrainian-language translation of the work "The Zelenskyi Effect" by Olga Onuch and Henry Gale, which, in particular, uses KIIS data.)

The MOBILISE Project aims to understand the determinants of ‘mobilisation’ (in the broader sense of political mobilization of society / citizens, not just military conscription) at home and abroad through a multi-wave, nationally representative panel survey. The survey collects data on citizens’ attitudes towards protests, migration, political engagement, and sociopolitical factors. This project spans four countries: Ukraine, Poland, Argentina, and Morocco. Thus, the primary aim of the MOBILISE survey is to collect information on citizens’ attitudes towards and personal experiences of protest and migration, along with other political, sociological, and demographic factors. This survey series also provides insights into shifts in attitudes over time, especially in the context of ongoing war in Ukraine.

During this period, KIIS conducted a number of surveys, in particular, in May 2024, questions were added to the regular KIIS Omnibus (the survey was conducted between May 26 and June 1, and 2,011 adult residents of territories under the control of the Government of Ukraine were interviewed by  the method of telephone interviews).

13
june
2024
Ukrainians' perception of Russia's purpose in the war against Ukraine

From May 16 to 22, 2024, the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) conducted its own all-Ukrainian public opinion survey "Omnibus", to which, on its own initiative, added a question about what, in the opinion of Ukrainians, Russia's purpose in the war against Ukraine is. By the method of computer-assistedtelephoneinterviews(CATI) based on a random sample of mobile phone numbers (with random generation of phone numbers and subsequent statistical weighting), 1,067 respondents living in all regions of Ukraine (territory under the control of the Government of Ukraine) were interviewed. The survey was conducted with adult (aged 18 and older) citizens of Ukraine who, at the time of the survey, lived on the territory of Ukraine controlled by the Government of Ukraine. The sample did not include residents of territories that are temporarily not controlled by the authorities of Ukraine (at the same time, out of 1,067 respondents 22 before February  24, 2022, lived in the territory that is currently occupied), and the survey was not conducted with citizens who went abroad after February 24, 2022.

Formally, under normal circumstances, the statistical error of such a sample (with a probability of 0.95 and taking into account the design effect of 1.1) did not exceed 3.4% for indicators close to 50%, 3.0% for indicators close to 25%, 2.1% - for indicators close to 10%, 1.5% - for indicators close to 5%.

Under conditions of war, in addition to the specified formal error, a certain systematic deviation is added. Factors that can affect the quality of results in "wartime" conditions were previously cited by KIIS.

In general, we believe that the obtained results are still highly representative and allow a fairly reliable analysis of the public moods of the population.

27
may
2024
Anton Oliynyk's column for UP based on KIIS data: "A difficult question about victory"

Anton Oliynyk, a professor at the Memorial University of Newfoundland, prepared a column for Ukrainska Pravda based on KIIS data. Below we also offer it for your attention.

The official position of the Ukrainian leadership regarding negotiations with Russia was and remains unchanged. The war will end with negotiations. " Zelensky's Formula " will be their agenda . Ukrainians' perception of the war is more dynamic. Public opinion is moving in the direction of a crossroads.

Ukrainians' answers to the question of why they think Russia invaded Ukraine indicate the presence of opposite tendencies. The Kyiv International Institute of Sociology first asked this question in May 2023, and then in February 2024. The question was open, without hints.

21
may
2024
Opinions and views of Kyiv residents: results of a telephone survey conducted on April 23-May 1, 2024

From April 23 to May 1, 2024, the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) conducted a public opinion survey of Kyiv residents. Bythemethodofcomputer-assistedtelephoneinterviews(CATI) based on a random sample of mobile phone numbers (with further statistical weighting), 804 respondents living in all districts of Kyiv were interviewed. The survey was conducted with adult (aged 18 and older) residents of the capital, who at the time of the survey lived and were registered in the city of Kyiv.

Formally, under normal circumstances, the statistical error of such a sample (with a probability of 0.95 and without taking into account the design effect) did not exceed 3.5% for indicators close to 50%, 3.1% for indicators close to 25%, 2.1 % - for indicators close to 10%, 1.6% - for indicators close to 5%.

The conducted survey is the second wave. The first wave (according to the same questionnaire) was conducted on October 12-16, 2023.

Under conditions of war, in addition to the specified formal error, a certain systematic deviation is added. There are various factors that can affect the quality of results in "wartime" conditions, which were cited by KIIS earlier. In general, we believe that the obtained results are still highly representative and allow a fairly reliable analysis of the public mood of the capital's population.

14
may
2024
Survey of Ukrainian refugees in Germany, Poland and the Czech Republic: satisfaction with life abroad, return to Ukraine, interest in the situation in Ukraine

During April 20-26, 2024, the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) conducted a survey of Ukrainian refugees by order of the non-governmental organization Center for Strategic Communications "Forum". Bythemethodofcomputer-assistedwebinterviews(CAWI) 801 respondents (adult citizens aged 18 and older) who left Ukraine after February 24, 2022 and currently live in Germany, Poland and the Czech Republic were interviewed.

Formally, under normal circumstances, the theoretical statistical error of such a sample (with a probability of 0.95) did not exceed 3.5%. At the same time, it is necessary to take into account the lack of reliable statistical data on the number and resettlement of Ukrainian refugees, the lack of data on their sex-age structure, the rooting of individual Ukrainian refugees and, as a result, less interest in participating in Ukrainian surveys, the peculiarities of the online interview method. The specified factors affect the error and the actual error will be somewhat higher.

At the same time, we believe that the obtained results still retain significant representativeness and allow us to analyze the public attitudes of Ukrainian refugees.

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